I wanted to buy a house, but I don't know if I should with the mortgage rates being so high. But is it better to buy a house now and then try to refinance later when the rates go down?
Asked by Matt | Des Moines, IA| 02-09-2023| 2,010 views|Home Loans|Updated 5 months ago
It depends on your situation, but for most people who are financially ready and plan to stay in the home for several years, buying now and refinancing later is a sound strategy.
Here's the logic. Home prices in most markets are not dropping significantly. If you wait two years for rates to come down, the house you're looking at today will likely cost more by then. And when rates do drop, every other buyer who was also waiting floods back into the market at the same time, which drives prices up further and creates more competition. You end up paying a higher price in a more competitive environment, which can offset whatever you saved on the interest rate.
When you buy now, you lock in today's price, start building equity immediately, and begin the clock on appreciation. The interest rate is temporary. You can refinance whenever rates drop enough to make it worthwhile. A general rule of thumb is that if you can lower your rate by at least 0.75 to 1 percent, refinancing makes sense after factoring in closing costs.
The math that matters is your monthly payment. If you can comfortably afford the payment at today's rate without stretching yourself thin, you're in a solid position. If buying at current rates puts you at the edge of what you can handle, that's a different conversation. Don't buy a house that makes you financially uncomfortable just because you're hoping to refinance in a year or two. Rates might not drop as fast or as far as people expect.
A few things to keep in mind. Make sure your loan doesn't have a prepayment penalty, which is rare these days but worth confirming. When you do refinance, you'll pay closing costs again, usually 1 to 3 percent of the loan amount, so factor that into your break-even calculation. And refinancing isn't guaranteed. Your home needs to appraise, your credit and income need to qualify, and rates need to actually come down enough to justify it.
The people who bought in 2019 and 2020 at low prices are sitting on massive equity right now regardless of what rates did after. The price you pay matters more in the long run than the rate you pay, because you can change the rate but you can't change the purchase price.
Barrett Henry
Broker Associate | REALTOR®
RE/MAX Collective · The NOW Team
Tampa Bay, Florida
nowtb.com
It is important to speak with a professional financial advisor or mortgage lender who can provide personalized guidance based on your financial situation, goals, and current market conditions.
That being said, it is important to consider the current mortgage rates and how they may impact your ability to afford a home. While waiting for rates to go down may seem like a good strategy, there is no guarantee that they will decrease, and they could also rise even higher.
Additionally, refinancing a mortgage later may involve additional fees and closing costs, so it is important to factor those costs into your decision as well. Ultimately, the decision to buy a house should be based on a variety of factors beyond just mortgage rates, including your current financial situation, long-term goals, and personal preferences.
That is truly a personal decision that should be made based on comfort and affordability. More financial information would be required to correct access.
Keith Jean-Pierre
Managing Principal
The Dapper Agents
Operations In: NY, NJ, FL & CA
This is a common strategy. Many buyers choose to buy now so they do not miss out on a home they love, then refinance if rates drop later. Just make sure the monthly payment you start with is still comfortable.
The phrase in the industry is date the rate, marry the house and there is real logic to it. The home you buy is a long term asset. The rate you buy at is temporary if rates drop. You can always refinance into a lower rate later but you cannot go back and buy the same house at today's price if values rise.
The risk is that rates may not drop significantly or quickly. Nobody can guarantee a refinance opportunity in 12 or 24 months. So the question to ask is whether you can comfortably afford the payment at today's rate without counting on a refinance. If the answer is yes and the home is the right home at the right price, buying now is a reasonable decision. If you are stretching to make today's payment work and are banking on rates dropping to stay afloat, that is where the strategy becomes risky.
Buy the house because it makes sense at today's payment. Treat a future refinance as a bonus, not a plan.
If your buying to live in your home long term than it usually always makes sense to purchase rather than rent. If your buying to live in short term, then the market could go up or down by the time you go to sell and can be very risky. Historically the market goes up over time. So depending on if you plan to stay in your home for a long time on not would be a big deciding factor.
Buying a house now and refinancing later can make sense, but only if the purchase works for your finances today. You should be comfortable with the monthly payment at the current interest rate, without relying on a future refinance.
Refinancing is never guaranteed; rates may go down, stay the same, or take longer than expected to drop. That said, buying now can mean less competition and more negotiating power, while refinancing later may lower your payment if rates improve.
The best approach is to run the numbers with a lender, understand your payment at today’s rate, and make sure the purchase fits your long-term plans before counting on a refinance.
There are costs associated with buying now and with waiting...I would definitely recommend talking with a local agent that knows your market and can help you with an educated guess at the future. Here is an article that may help. https://bit.ly/3J5cPVu