I bought a house about a year ago. My interest on the loan is pretty high. How do I know when it's the right time to refinance? I want a lower rate. I'm worried if I jump on the first rate drop that I'll miss out on something better later.
Asked by Drew | El Paso, TX| 08-12-2024| 846 views|Finance & Legal Info|Updated 1 year ago
Drew,
This is a great question! Since you purchased so recently my first piece of advice is to go to the lender you used to purchase your home and see if they will offer a no cost refi? Then what I would do is refi when you have the opportunity to save $200 to $400 dollars per month. Listen, I have owned my home for 10 years and have refinanced in 3 times. It is my forever home and getting into the right program was more important than getting hung up on the cost. If this home is a long term home then strike when it is right and heck if you have to do it again then do it! I know people who have refinanced 5 times, but it ended up putting them in a great position! Concord, MA real estate
The general rule is to refinance when you can lower your rate by at least 0.75 to 1 percent and the savings outweigh the closing costs within a reasonable timeframe.
Refinancing has closing costs, typically 1 to 3 percent of the loan amount. Divide those costs by your monthly savings to find your break-even point. If refinancing costs $5,000 and saves you $200 per month, you break even in 25 months. If you plan to stay in the home longer than that, the refinance makes financial sense.
On timing, trying to catch the absolute bottom of a rate cycle is like trying to time the stock market. You'll drive yourself crazy waiting for the perfect moment. If the rate you can get today saves you meaningful money and you break even within two to three years, do it. If rates drop further later, you can refinance again.
Watch the overall rate trend. When rates start falling, they usually come down in stages. You don't need to jump on the first drop, but waiting for the bottom means you might miss the window if rates reverse.
Talk to your lender or a mortgage broker and ask them to run a break-even analysis based on current rates versus your existing rate. That gives you a concrete number instead of guessing.
Keep in mind that their are fees associated with refinancing that are many times wrapped back up in loan amount. Talk to the Lender that you used when you purchased your home if you were happy with them -- to get a better idea of how much it will cost you to get a lower rate and make sure that you are able to do a refi. If the fees to refinance are not substantial enough -- you may need to wait until you pay your loan further or rates decrease more.
Usually, 6 months is the minimum timeframe, but keep in mind that constant refinances end up being net negative. A refinance will lower your mortgage payment if there is a bit of a rate difference between your current rate and the current market rate but do keep in mind that it resets your clock for your mortgage. So, let's say you have 27 years left, if you refinance you go back to 30 or 40 depending on what product you select. Of course, you can go to a 15 but that would most likely raise your payment if your mortgage is relatively new.
Keith Jean-Pierre
Managing Principal
The Dapper Agents
Operations In: NY, NJ, FL & CA
This is a common question among Florida buyers and sellers, and the answer depends on your specific situation and local market conditions. Understanding the fundamentals before making any decisions protects your investment and your timeline.
In Lecanto, Citrus County, Florida, the real estate landscape has its own characteristics that affect how this plays out in practice. The Citrus County market attracts a diverse buyer pool including relocators from higher-cost states, retirees, and local move-up buyers, which creates consistent demand across most price points and property types.
The strategic approach is to work with a local agent who can pull current comparable sales data and walk you through the specific factors that apply to your situation in Florida. Every market is different at the neighborhood level, and decisions based on general advice or national headlines often miss the local nuances that matter most to your outcome.
Making informed decisions based on local data is always the strongest position.
Kevin Neely & Kaitlynd Robbins | K2 Sells
The number most people use is the break-even point. Refinancing costs money, typically 2 to 3 percent of the loan in closing costs. Divide that cost by your monthly savings and you'll know how many months it takes to break even. If you're saving $200 a month and it costs $4,000 to refinance, you break even in 20 months. If you plan to stay in the home past that point, refinancing makes sense.
On the question of waiting for something better, nobody can time rates perfectly, not even the pros. A common rule of thumb is that a drop of at least 1 percent in your rate is worth looking at seriously. If rates drop further after you refinance, you can always refinance again, though you'd reset the break-even clock.
One thing most people miss is that refinancing restarts your loan term. If you're a year into a 30-year mortgage and you refinance into another 30-year, you're extending your payoff date. Refinancing into a 20 or 25-year term instead can keep you on a similar timeline while still lowering your rate.
working with a great Loan Officer that can guide you through the expected market conditions would be what you need. The Mortgage Industry as a whole is expecting a rate improvement cycle. I would suggest that you have a target rate in mind and know how long you plan on keeping the home. Both of these questions can help guide you to when is the right time to refi.
As of August 12, 2024, interest rates are as follows:
Federal Funds Rate: 5.25% to 5.50%
30-year fixed rate: 6.496% APR
15-year fixed rate: 5.579% APR
5-year ARM rate: 7.593% APR